Here are the updates for DV2025 from CEAC for week #6 for the fiscal year 2025 (Feb 3 – Feb 9, 2025)

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AI Summary

Key Highlights

Total Cases Processed

• Total Cases Processed: 1,035 cases (all cases that underwent a status transition).
• Issued Visas: 1,017 visas issued globally (from 546 cases).
• Administrative Processing (AP) Cases: 294 cases remain in AP, 99% expected to transition to Issued.
• Refusals under 221(g): 275 cases refused under 221(g).

Status Transitions

• Ready → Issued: 344 cases transitioned to “Issued” (1,017 visas).
• AP → Issued: 135 cases cleared Administrative Processing and moved to Issued.
• Ready → Refused221g: 173 cases faced additional review under 221(g).
• InTransit → Ready: 114 cases moved into the “Ready” status for consular processing.

Consular Processing Activity

• Top Consulates by Case Volume:
  • Lomé (LOM): 67 cases (all Africa).
  • Kigali (KGL): 35 cases (Africa).
  • Mauritius (MST): 12 cases (Asia).

Status Change Activity

• Visas Issued by Region:
  • Africa (AF): 360 visas.
  • Asia (AS): 194 visas.
  • Europe (EU): 358 visas.
  • Oceania (OC): 23 visas.
  • South America (SA): 82 visas.
• Administrative Processing (AP):
  • Total AP Cases: 294, with Africa leading (120 cases).
• Refused221g Cases:
  • Total Cases: 275, with Africa (112 cases) and Europe (92 cases) seeing the highest numbers.

Insights and Observations

Regional Performance

• Europe (EU) and Africa (AF) remain the most active regions in visa issuance.
• Asia saw a notable increase in Administrative Processing cases, indicating possible procedural delays.
• Africa handled the most overall workload, processing 67 cases in Lomé and 35 in Kigali.

Top Consulates

• Lomé and Kigali led Africa’s case processing.
• Mauritius processed 12 cases for Asia, showing ongoing activity in the region.

Refusals and Bottlenecks

• Africa (112 cases) and Europe (92 cases) dominate 221(g) refusals, suggesting common documentation issues.
• Total outright refusals remain moderate at 92 cases globally.

Takeaways

• Visa issuance momentum remains strong, with over 1,000 visas issued this week.
• Africa and Europe continue to handle the bulk of cases.
• Asia struggles with increasing AP and 221(g) refusals.
• Case processing volumes remain steady compared to Week #5, suggesting a consistent pace of decision-making.

Detailed Analysis by Region

Africa (AF)

• Cases Processed: 360.
• Visas Issued: 360.
• Refusals under 221(g): 112 cases.

Asia (AS)

• Cases Processed: 194.
• Visas Issued: 194.
• Refusals under 221(g): 53 cases.

Europe (EU)

• Cases Processed: 358.
• Visas Issued: 358.
• Refusals under 221(g): 92 cases.

Oceania (OC)

• Cases Processed: 23.
• Visas Issued: 23.
• Refusals under 221(g): 13 cases.

South America (SA)

• Cases Processed: 82.
• Visas Issued: 82.
• Refusals under 221(g): 5 cases.

Consular Performance

Top Consulates by Case Volume

• Lomé (67 cases)
• Kigali (35 cases)
• Mauritius (12 cases)

Refusal Analysis

Refusals Under 221(g)

• Total Cases: 275, led by Africa (112) and Europe (92).

Outright Refusals (Non-221g)

• Total Cases: 92, with Africa (37) leading.

Trends and Projections

1. Visa Issuance Momentum: Visa issuance remains stable, with over 1,000 visas issued.
2. Africa’s Workload: Continues to be the most active region.
3. AP Success: 99% of cases in Administrative Processing are expected to move to Issued.
4. 221(g) Challenges: Continue to impact Africa and Europe.

Charts

Summary of Charts for Week #6

1. Cases Processed by Region:
   • Africa (AF) and Europe (EU) processed the highest number of cases.
   • Asia (AS) followed, with moderate case volume.
2. Visas Issued by Region:
   • Europe (EU) and Africa (AF) led in visa issuance, continuing their dominance.
3. Cases in Administrative Processing (AP):
   • Africa (AF) had the highest number of cases in AP, suggesting increased processing times.
   • Europe (EU) and Asia (AS) also had notable AP case numbers.
4. Cases Refused (221g) by Region:
   • Africa (AF) and Europe (EU) accounted for most of the 221(g) refusals.
   • Oceania (OC) had a small but notable share of 221(g) refusals.
5. Share of Visas Issued by Region (Pie Chart):
   • Africa (AF) and Europe (EU) together account for the majority of issued visas.
6. Share of Cases Refused (221g) by Region (Pie Chart):
   • Africa (AF) has the highest share of 221(g) refusals, with Europe (EU) close behind.

Key Takeaways

1. Sharp Drop in Case Processing for Africa and Europe
   • Africa’s processed cases fell by 50% (678 → 360), signaling a major slowdown in workload.
   • Europe followed with a drop from 611 → 358 cases.
2. Visa Issuance Also Declined in These Regions
   • Africa: 546 → 360 visas issued (-186 visas).
   • Europe: 611 → 358 visas issued (-253 visas).
3. Asia Maintained Stability
   • Asia processed the same number of cases (194) as the previous week.
   • Administrative Processing (AP) cases dropped significantly from 126 → 56, showing progress.
4. 221(g) Refusals Are Becoming a Bigger Issue
   • Africa’s 221(g) refusals jumped from 83 → 112 cases.
   • Europe nearly doubled from 47 → 92 refusals.
5. Future Trends to Watch
   • The sharp drop in Africa and Europe’s processing volume raises questions about potential backlogs or embassy workload shifts.
   • 221(g) refusals remain a challenge, requiring close monitoring to see if case approvals improve in future weeks.